|
A Note on Economic Policy
Interviews with members of the media have become part
of my normal work schedule over the last seven months. Some interviews
are brief, 15 minutes or so, limited to a particular topic which
is the specialty of the newspaper or magazine concerned. Other interviews
are longer and ramble over a wider range of subjects. There are
a number of standard questions related to the period of my house
arrest and the work of the National League for Democracy (NLD) which
are asked in almost every interview. Then there are questions which
relate to current developments.
In recent weeks many journalists have asked about
the economic policies of the NLD. One or two have even asked if
we believed in an open-market economy. It brought home to me the
fact that few foreigners knew of the existence of the Manifesto
brought out by our party for the 1990 elections. And as there has
been no official English translation of the Manifesto, even those
who knew of it might not have known much about its contents. (The
authorities have not permitted the NLD to bring out any publications
since about two months after the elections.)
In view of current media interest, I would like to
put down here the economic objectives of the NLD as stated under
11 clauses in the sections of the Manifesto on the economy:
- Stability in prices, currency and employment;
a national currency in which the people can have confidence 2.
- Appropriate monetary and fiscal policies
and an effectively controlled budget
- A review of the exchange rate followed by
necessary revision
- Priority given to the import of fuel, vehicles
and other goods that will contribute toward a fall in prices
- Diversification of export goods
- Amendments in foreign investment laws with
a view to increasing the volume of investments
- Reductions of foreign debts and resumption
of aid and assistance from abroad
- Review and, where necessary, revision or
repeal of laws, decrees, regulations and other restrictions which
circumscribe economic activities
- Review and revision of the tax system to
make private enterprise more profitable
- An economy in which all the component parts
are based fully on the market economy; encouragement of the speedy
development of private enterprise
- Promotion of a more efficient tourist industry.
Of course, it is easy enough to set down economic
objectives, the question is how one sets about achieving them. I
have found the opinions expressed by Dr. David Dapice, associate
faculty fellow of the Harvard Institute for International Development,
in his reports on the Burmese economy to the United Nations Development
Program very similar to the views of the NLD. In "Prospects for
Sustainable Growth in Myanmar/Burma" Dr. Dapice comments that "economic
reform is not simply setting an interest rate or exchange rate.
It is establishing a shared vision of where the policies should
lead and creating credibility and confidence that most movements
will be in the right directions."[1]
Credibility and confidence are basic to good business
and this is what we have to establish first if we want our policies
to lead to a successful open-market economy. It is for this reason
that the NLD believes that essential to sound economic development
is a political system firmly rooted in the rule of law. Here again
I would like to refer to Dr. Dapice, who holds that to reverse the
trend in Burma toward "serious and difficult-to-reverse economic,
social, and political problems" there would need to be "a strong
and effective legal system, and a set of policies and institutions
that engender confidence enough for people to save in banks and
invest in the future without fear that they will, effectively, lose
even if they succeed."[2]
When I am questioned as to my views on foreign investment
I reply that now is not yet the time to invest. And to those who
would query what the alternative would be to "investment now," I
would say: "Invest in the future." That is to say, invest in democracy
for Burma if only for the sake of your own profits. Businesses that
frame their investment policies with a view to promoting an open,
secure political system based on confidence and credibility will
find they are also promoting an open, secure economy based on confidence
and credibility where optimum returns can be expected by investors.
A democratic Burma will be an economically dynamic and stable Burma.
1. David Dapice, "Prospects for Sustainable Growth
in Myanmar/Burma" (A Report to the United Nations Development Program,
September 12, 1995), p. 15
2. Ibid.
 |